Your weekly outlook of technical patterns and structure.

The Research Team scans the financial markets for you, highlighting clear and actionable technical structures.

Forex: Long-Term Bearish Pennant Pattern Nearing Breaking Point on AUD/USD

Monthly Timeframe –

Albeit more of a longer-term structure, price action on the monthly timeframe of AUD/USD has been busy carving out a potential bearish pennant pattern since September 2022 between $0.6169 and $0.7142. Having seen this market exhibit a downtrend since 2011, a breakout beyond the pattern’s technical structure unearths the possibility of further underperformance and exposes monthly support at $0.6135.

Commodities: ‘Alternate’ AB=CD Formation for XAU/USD, Anyone?

Daily Timeframe –

From the daily timeframe of spot gold in $ terms (XAU/USD), you will note that the precious metal has formed what is referred to as an ‘alternate’ AB=CD bullish pattern. This delivers a support area between the 1.618% and 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratios at (in this case) $1,941 and $1,954, respectively.

Should a rebound unfold from the aforementioned support area, traders/investors tend to organise their take-profit objectives using the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratios derived from legs A and D.

Equities: Breakout Buyers in Control on the S&P 500?

Daily Timeframe –

Having noted room to continue navigating higher terrain on the monthly and weekly timeframes (weekly resistance is not expected until 4,595), price action on the daily timeframe helped reaffirm this bullish presence by rupturing resistance at 4,363 and clearing the way north to at least October tops at 4,393 and perhaps resistance coming in at 4,473.

Cryptocurrency: BTC/USD Nearing Resistance

Weekly Timeframe –

From the weekly timeframe of BTC/USD, bulls are firmly in the driving seat for the time being. After clearing offers around resistance at $35,060, a level which could now offer support, the major cryptocurrency is seen fast approaching resistance at $38,523. You will also note that this level is accompanied by a channel resistance taken from the high of $31,050, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) recently entered overbought space (≥ 70.00).

As a result, further buying is possible in the short term, though technical headwinds are close by and may inspire profit-taking and fresh short positions.

Charts: Trading View

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