Your weekly outlook of technical patterns and structure.
The Research Team scans the financial markets for you, highlighting clear and actionable technical structures.
Forex: EUR/USD Challenging Resistance
H4 Timeframe –
Recent action bolstered Europe’s single currency, consequently lifting the EUR/USD to resistance at $1.1025, which happens to closely share space with an equal AB=CD bearish formation at $1.1038 (a 100% projection ratio) and a 50.0% retracement ratio at $1.1031, as well as the upper Bollinger Band, set to two standard deviations based on a 20-period SMA.
Commodities: WTI Crude Oil Approaching Major Resistance
Daily Timeframe –
After another positive day yesterday, the daily price of WTI oil is fast approaching a key level of resistance around $86.36, complemented by an ‘alternate’ AB=CD resistance at $85.49 (1.618% Fibonacci projection ratio) and a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ratio at $86.56.
Equities: S&P 500 to Drop In on 50-Day SMA?
Following last week’s post, the S&P 500 has maintained a bearish bias after rejecting resistance on the weekly timeframe last week, made up of channel resistance taken from the high of 4,100 and horizontal resistance at 4,595. This has placed support on the daily timeframe at 4,473 in a tentative position and perhaps unbolted the door for further downside to the 50-day simple moving average, currently circling 4,427.
However, with a clear uptrend on the monthly chart and today’s US CPI data, dip buyers could still show interest in 4,473.
Cryptocurrency: BTC/USD Fading Underside of 50-Day SMA in Uptrend
Daily Timeframe –
BTC/USD is seen rejecting the underside of its 50-day simple moving average, currently at $29,971. Now while the trend is to the upside in this market, there is scope for this major crypto to drop lower and retest support coming in at $27,221: a horizontal base complemented by the 200-day simple moving average at $27,072. This would mark a -15.0% correction from the $31,862 top (13 July), similar to the earlier correction between April and June of this year between $31,050 and $24,750 (-20.0%).
DISCLAIMER: The information contained in this material is intended for general advice only. It does not consider your investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. FP Markets has made every effort to ensure the accuracy of the information as at the date of publication. FP Markets does not give any warranty or representation as to the material. Examples included in this material are for illustrative purposes only. To the extent permitted by law, FP Markets and its employees shall not be liable for any loss or damage arising in any way (including by way of negligence) from or in connection with any information provided in or omitted from this material. Features of the FP Markets products including applicable fees and charges are outlined in the Product Disclosure Statements available from FP Markets website, www.fpmarkets.com and should be considered before deciding to deal in those products. Derivatives can be risky; losses can exceed your initial payment. FP Markets recommends that you seek independent advice. First Prudential Markets Pty Ltd trading as FP Markets ABN 16 112 600 281, Australian Financial Services License Number 286354.