• Week Ahead

    Week Ahead

    • October 4, 2019
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  • Currency Point: GBP facing Brexit fatigue

    • September 27, 2019

    Over the past 5 weeks, all GBP movements have been based on Brexit developments. The rejection of snap elections, ‘hard’ Brexit risk and the null and void’ declaration of prorogation of Parliament have created a ‘strengthening’ scenario in the GBP as ‘perceived risks’ have diminished.  However, Brexit is anything but a ‘diminishing’ risk, a hard

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  • Currency Point: Oxymorons

    • September 20, 2019

    ‘A hawkish cut’, ‘dovish upgrades’ and ‘potential non-movement’ – the oxymorons are strong in policy speak currently. Over the past week four G10 currency central banks have moved rates, three cut, one hiked.Which leads us to review the outlooks for certain currencies and assess our overall playbook.In the world of FX all reviews should start with

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  • Currency Point: DXY me this

    Currency Point: DXY me this

    • September 6, 2019

    In the increasingly risky FX landscape single pair/cross risk may no longer be the best option to trade due to gapping and being stopped out. We only have to look back at the month of August to see this kind of risk playing out. EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD and the Scandinavian currencies all took a

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  • Trades you should and trades you shouldn’t

    • August 30, 2019

    Risk-off remains the ‘base case’ of my FX thinking. Volatility is the highest it’s been in 2019 as the sporadic nature of geo-politics coupled with a backdrop of a slowing global economy has created a perfect FX risk caldron and one that has us looking at XAU and crosses that are long JPY. EURJPY remains

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  • Currency Point –  Currency Point The Peg

    Currency Point – Currency Point The Peg

    • August 9, 2019

    FX has been rocked by the ramp-up in action of the US-China trade war. The fact the PBoC is now willing to use the RMB as a mechanism to counter-tariffs is a new dimension for markets. It also shows that the FX market has now become a ‘battle ground’ and thus risk and commodity currencies

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  • Currency Point – XAU hit by USD

    • August 2, 2019

    Everyone is talking about the ‘hawkish cut’ and the reweighting taking place in FX. The strength of the USD should not be underestimated, it has seen GBP, AUD, EUR and NZD get pounded to multi-year lows. It was even more painful when you factor in Powell’s testimony; his bumbling and inability to clarify the Board’s

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  • Currency Point –  Adding to our positions, knocking a pair out

    Currency Point – Adding to our positions, knocking a pair out

    • July 19, 2019

    Our USD thesis is very much holding true. In fact, the fait accompli around the cut to the Federal Funds Rate has been strengthened further by several events of the past week. These been:– New York President John Williams confirming that its ‘better to take preventative measures’– Vice Chair Richard Clarida followed this comment in an

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  • Currency Point – USD, fait accompli?

    • July 12, 2019

    The USD, from a market perspective anyway, is facing in a very dovish set up; and that’s despite last week’s strong non-farm payrolls (NFP). The NFPs certain throw out a red herring, its strength saw pairs whipsawing away from trend and did in fact knock out a previous trade idea in USD/JPY by hitting our

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  • Currency Point – In Safety We Trust

    • July 5, 2019

    Disclaimer: This material contains information from external sources and is intended for education and general information only. It does not constitute financial advice nor does it take into account your investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. Derivatives can be risky; losses can exceed your initial payment. FP Markets recommends that you seek independent advice.

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