The Pattern Pulse - 18 April 2024
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- April 18, 2024
Your weekly outlook of technical patterns and structure. The FP Markets Research Team scans the financial markets for you, highlighting clear and actionable technical structures. Forex: USD/JPY Eyeing 1990 Highs Monthly Timeframe – The USD/JPY currency pair recently refreshed multi-decade highs of ¥154.79, a move probing offers at channel resistance, taken from the high of
READ MOREWe have an interesting technical picture unfolding on the NZD/USD at the moment. From the daily timeframe, it is evident that the currency pair has been underwater for the majority of this year. In fact, year to date, we are lower by -6.6%. Further Selling? Favouring bears at this point is the downtrend shaped by
READ MORETechnical Picture Favours Bears Week to date, against the US dollar (USD), the price of bitcoin (BTC) is down more than -7.0% and touching gloves with levels not seen since mid-March. Technically, the longer-term picture exhibits overbought/overvalued conditions. Following the all-time high clocked in early March at $73,845, commitment from buyers has been lacklustre and
READ MOREYY Headline: 3.2% (Est: 3.1%; Prev: 3.4%) MM Headline: 0.6% (Est: 0.4%; Prev: 0.6%) YY Core: 4.2% (Est: 4.1%; Prev: 4.5%) MM Core: 0.6% (Est: 0.5%; Prev: 0.6%) The March UK CPI numbers hit the wires earlier this morning, revealing a slower-than-expected pace of disinflation across all four key metrics. While all four reports
READ MOREFollowing today’s mixed bag of employment and wages data, tomorrow’s attention is directed to the March UK CPI inflation release, scheduled to air at 7:00 am GMT+1. Estimates Suggest Further Disinflation Both headline and core (excludes food, energy, tobacco and alcohol) measures have surprised to the downside in the previous two releases and are expected
READ MORECanada’s March inflation is expected to rise to 2.9%, potentially impacting a June rate cut. US retail sales beat forecasts, keeping the not-so-soon rate cut story. USD is buoyed by the Chinese authorities, allowing a lower yuan. Good morning to all our readers! Yesterday was dominated by US retail sales data; retail sales rose 0.7%
READ MOREEarlier this morning, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) released the latest UK earnings and employment data, and it was largely a mixed print overall. UK Unemployment Jumps to 4.2% UK unemployment climbed to 4.2% from December 2023 to February 2024, up from 3.9% in the three months to January 2024. This marks the largest
READ MOREDollar’s Safe-Haven Status Could Hold Strong Amid Market Turmoil Iran’s attack on Israel had a limited impact on the Forex market. US retail sales data today follows a strong CPI, with little expected impact on Fed rate cut projections for 2024. The corrective upside in the Pound and Euro lacks firm conviction. Good morning to
READ MOREIt was quite the week! Top of the bill last week, of course, was the stronger-than-expected US CPI inflation print, which, immediately following the release, underpinned the dollar and US Treasury yields, as well as pushed spot gold (XAU/USD) and US equity index futures southbound. Interestingly, a hawkish repricing in the Fed funds target rate
READ MOREAnother week, another record high for the precious metal. The spot price of gold (XAU/USD) refreshed all-time highs at $2,431 last week, strengthened by expectations of US rate cuts, safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and central banks purchasing large stockpiles of gold. However, sentiment soured on Friday, casting gold -1.2% lower
READ MOREThe S&P 500 finished another week in negative territory, shedding -1.6% (-2.5% MTD). While it is clear that this market remains the domain of buyers, 90% of the upside in March has been reclaimed, and evidence is building for a deeper correction. Deeper Correction Possible Kicking things off from the monthly chart, following last week’s
READ MORESterling ended the week considerably lower against the US dollar, recording its largest one-week decline since July 2023 (-1.5%). In light of the slew of UK economic data on the docket this week—wages, CPI inflation and retail sales—this will be a particularly key market to monitor. Monthly Resistance Holding Firm Price action on the monthly
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