The Pattern Pulse - 25 April 2024
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- April 25, 2024
Following the Bank of Canada (BoC), the European Central Bank (ECB) announced it would hold all three key benchmark rates unchanged today for a fourth consecutive meeting, as widely expected. Downward Revisions in Growth and Inflation The updated macroeconomic Staff Projections observed a more optimistic picture for inflation in the form of downward revisions, and,
READ MOREYour weekly outlook of technical patterns and structure. The Research Team scans the financial markets for you, highlighting clear and actionable technical structures. Forex: Dollar on the Ropes Daily Timeframe – Following the break of channel support (extended from the low of 100.62) and subsequent push through the 200-day and 50-day simple moving averages (SMA)
READ MOREFuelled amid softer-than-expected US economic data—ADP non-farm employment change and JOLTs—and hopes of the Fed cutting rates in the summer, spot gold (XAU/USD) is on track to wrap up a sixth day in positive territory after refreshing all-time highs at $2,150. It has been quite the run for the precious metal, but with price now
READ MOREToday will see the release of the Bank of Canada (BoC) rate decision at 2:45 pm GMT. BoC to Hold the Line The BoC is widely expected to keep its Overnight Rate on hold at 5.0% for a fifth consecutive meeting—a 22-year peak. As per the OIS curve, there’s only a 6% chance that we
READ MOREFollowing the US cash open, we can see precious metals have been broadly bid today. The price of spot gold (XAU/USD) and spot silver (XAG/USD) are +1.7% and +2.8% higher, respectively, at the time of writing. Despite UST yields advancing and the Dollar Index offering very little, both gold and silver are outperforming! Resistance is
READ MOREXJO WEEKLY Price structure: Breakout New ATH The Index has closed at an all time high and entered into a Primary UP trend. With the majority of the underlying stocks still below their 200 day moving averages, continued sentiment may lift the Index considerably higher with 8000 point a strong target as Bullish sentiment improves. The #3
READ MOREIt was another great week for the US equity space, concluding February with a fourth successive month of upside. Investors remain buoyed by earnings, AI and, of course, the resilience of the US economy. Equities were bolstered by not only on PCE inflation data on Thursday, but also Friday’s ISM manufacturing report. Nasdaq Refreshes All-Time
READ MOREWhere We Were For those who read last week’s week-ahead post, you will recall the FP Markets Research Team pencilled in the following points about gold prices (italics): There’s no denying that the yellow metal is exhibiting an uptrend and has been since pencilling in a bottom around the $1,614 area in late 2022. We
READ MOREAhead of this week’s BoC meeting—the central bank is widely expected to remain on hold at 5.0%—the technical picture for the USD/CAD leans in favour of buyers for the time being. Monthly, Daily and H1 Charts Echo Bullish Tone From the monthly timeframe, we can clearly see the currency pair has formed a long-term consolidation
READ MOREEurope’s single currency concluded February eking out marginal gains against its US counterpart, delivering what many technical analysts will acknowledge as an indecision candle. Overall, the EUR/USD has been (and remains) in a downtrend since 2008, sporting clear lower lows and lower highs on the monthly chart. Despite January’s engulfing candle (textbook engulfing candles focus
READ MOREPCE Data Eases in the Twelve Months to January Today’s PCE data—a preferred measure for the Fed and one of the primary indicators they use to set monetary policy—was in line with economists’ estimates across the board. Interestingly, though, for the year-over-year measures for January, both headline and core supported the disinflationary process, easing to
READ MOREYour weekly outlook of technical patterns and structure. The Research Team scans the financial markets for you, highlighting clear and actionable technical structures. Forex: AUD/NZD Offers Potentially Weak at Resistance Daily Timeframe – Following Aussie CPI data and the RBNZ holding the Official Cash Rate unchanged, the AUD/NZD cross has been well bid from support
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