GBP/USD Crossing Swords with Technical Confluence!
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- April 22, 2024
XJO WEEKLY Price structure: Rejection of the high The Fake Out (FO) discussed two weeks ago has continued to play out with a reversal in the form of an outside period (OPd) and, last week, a further rejection of the high with a low closing price in the overall range. With the price remaining within
READ MOREAnother week, another record high for the precious metal. The spot price of gold (XAU/USD) refreshed all-time highs at $2,431 last week, strengthened by expectations of US rate cuts, safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and central banks purchasing large stockpiles of gold. However, sentiment soured on Friday, casting gold -1.2% lower
READ MOREThe S&P 500 finished another week in negative territory, shedding -1.6% (-2.5% MTD). While it is clear that this market remains the domain of buyers, 90% of the upside in March has been reclaimed, and evidence is building for a deeper correction. Deeper Correction Possible Kicking things off from the monthly chart, following last week’s
READ MORESterling ended the week considerably lower against the US dollar, recording its largest one-week decline since July 2023 (-1.5%). In light of the slew of UK economic data on the docket this week—wages, CPI inflation and retail sales—this will be a particularly key market to monitor. Monthly Resistance Holding Firm Price action on the monthly
READ MOREYour weekly outlook of technical patterns and structure. The FP Markets Research Team scans the financial markets for you, highlighting clear and actionable technical structures. Forex: EUR/USD Tentatively Tests Support Ahead of ECB Meeting Daily Timeframe – Following hotter-than-expected US CPI inflation numbers pulling the EUR/USD southbound yesterday, the currency pair is now testing the
READ MOREData came in broadly higher than expected for the March US CPI inflation print. Higher-Than-Expected Reports on Three of the Four Major Prints Year-on-year headline CPI inflation for March rose +3.5%, up from +3.2% in February and a touch higher than economists’ estimates of +3.4%. Of note, this follows a rise of +3.4% in December
READ MOREMarket Pricing – Unlikely to Adjust Rates The Bank of Canada (BoC) is poised to update policy later today at 2:45 pm GMT+1. Markets are currently pricing around a 16% probability of a 25bp cut at the upcoming meeting, with June pricing in -20bps of easing and July fully pricing in a -25bp cut. Recent
READ MOREMarket Consensus: Year on year – Headline: Estimate: 3.4%; Previous: 3.2% (Estimate Range: 3.5% High; 3.1% Low) Core: Estimate: 3.7%; Previous: 3.8% (Estimate Range: 3.8% High; 3.5% Low) Month on month – Headline: Estimate: 0.3%; Previous: 0.4% (Estimate Range: 0.5% High; 0.2% Low) Core: Estimate: 0.3%; Previous: 0.4% (Estimate Range: 0.4% High; 0.2% Low) Bloomberg
READ MOREXJO WEEKLY Price structure: Fake out + OPd The Fake Out (FO) discussed last week has played out with a reversal in the form of an outside period (OPd), with the price remaining within the ascending wedge pattern. The potential flowing an OPd is for further follow-through lower in this chart to retest the 7632
READ MOREYou will recall that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) increased its Policy Rate to +0.00%/0.10% in March, pulling the rate out of negative territory. While many, including the Research Team at FP Markets, expected the Japanese yen (JPY) to rally on the back of this, we instead witnessed a fall in the currency, consequently drawing
READ MOREThe spot price of gold (XAU/USD) concluded another week in positive territory, adding +4.3% and refreshing record pinnacles at $2,330/ounce amid expectations of lower rates this year, geopolitical tensions and speculative buying. There’s no denying that the yellow metal is exhibiting an uptrend and has been since pencilling in a bottom around the $1,614 area
READ MOREYour weekly outlook of technical patterns and structure. The FP Markets Research Team scans the financial markets for you, highlighting clear and actionable technical structures. Forex: Dollar Index Testing Support Daily Timeframe – Following Fed Chair Powell’s comments yesterday, in which he emphasised a wait-and-see vibe, the US Dollar Index pulled lower from resistance at
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