ECB Delivers Another 25 bp Cut
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- January 30, 2025
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GBP/USD Sharply Lower Following Bailey’s Dovish Comments
- October 3, 2024
In an interview with the Guardian, Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey echoed a marked shift in tone today and underlined that the BoE could become more aggressive regarding policy easing if inflationary pressures continued to subside. This follows Bailey calling for a ‘gradual approach’ in September after the central bank held the Bank
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Week Ahead: Updates from the RBA and SNB Eyed; US PCE Data Also on the Radar
- September 21, 2024
The Week That Was: Fed Hammers Home a 50bp Cut At the centre of things last week was the US Federal Reserve (Fed) rate announcement. In an 11-1 vote, the Fed initiated its easing cycle, reducing the target on the funds rate by an outsized 50 basis points (bps). Bringing the overnight rate to 4.75-5.00%
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Easy Does It: Bank of England Leaves Bank Rate on Hold at 5.0%
- September 19, 2024
‘Easy does it’ was today’s primary message from the Bank of England (BoE). Unlike the US Federal Reserve cutting rates by an outsized 50 basis points (bps) yesterday, the BoE is clearly in no rush to ease policy, with most policymakers backing a slow and steady approach. In an 8-1 majority vote, the BoE left
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Fed Reduces Overnight Rate by 50 Basis Points
- September 18, 2024
With much market chatter heading into the event about whether the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would cut rates by 25 or 50 basis points (bps), the central bank, in an 11-1 vote, cut by an outsized 50bps and signalled further easing is on the table this year (Fed Governor Michelle Bowman dissented and voted for
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UK Inflation Holds North of BoE Target in August
- September 18, 2024
According to the latest Office for National Statistics (ONS) report, UK headline inflation remained unchanged in August and aligned with economists’ estimates, while core and services inflation increased, which likely sealed the deal for the Bank of England (BoE) holding rates unchanged tomorrow. Inflation Holds at +2.2% in August Headline UK CPI inflation (Consumer Price
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Canadian CPI Inflation Slows to 2.0% in August
- September 17, 2024
Inflationary pressures in Canada continued to subside in August, underpinning the possibility of more policy easing this year. According to a report released by Statistics Canada (StatCan) earlier today, headline CPI inflation (Consumer Price Index) cooled to +2.0% in August (YoY), down from +2.5% in July and south of economists’ expectations of +2.1%. This marks
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Week Ahead: Key Central Banks in Focus
- September 14, 2024
This week will be an interesting one for the financial markets. In addition to several tier-1 data, the focus will be on the US Federal Reserve (Fed), closely shadowed by the Bank of England (BoE) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Fed Rate Announcement (Wednesday 6:00 pm GMT) The Fed is gearing up to reduce
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ECB Cuts Rates; Growth Forecasts Revised Lower
- September 12, 2024
As widely expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut all three key benchmark rates at today’s meeting. The central bank lowered the deposit facility rate by 25 basis points to 3.50% from 3.75%; the main refinancing rate and marginal lending facility rates were also reduced by 60 basis points to 3.65% (from 4.25%) and 3.90%
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US CPI Inflation Cooled to +2.5% in August
- September 11, 2024
According to a report released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) earlier today, headline US CPI inflation (Consumer Price Index) eased to +2.5% in August (YoY), testing levels not seen since February 2021. The latest inflation data sent US Treasury yields and the US Dollar Index northbound, with major US equity index futures trading
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Week Ahead: US CPI Inflation and ECB Rate Decision in Focus
- September 7, 2024
The first full week of September culminated in the release of the US Employment Situation Report for August. Non-farm payrolls revealed that the US economy added 142,000 jobs, up from July’s reading of 114,000, though weaker than the market’s median estimate of 160,000 (Reuters). US Treasury yields and the US dollar (USD) nosedived following the
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US Services Activity Unexpectedly Expanded in August
- September 5, 2024
According to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), US economic activity in the services sector expanded for a second consecutive month in August. The headline Services PMI increased to 51.5, up from 51.4 in July and also bettered the market’s median estimate of 51.1. While this sent the US Dollar Index and US Treasury yields
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US Job Openings Fall to Levels Not Seen since Early 2021
- September 4, 2024
According to a report released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics today, the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTs) revealed a fall in job openings to 7.67 million from June’s downwardly revised print of 7.91 million. This marked a fresh low for the JOLTs number since topping out at 12.2 million in March 2022,
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