Since November 12, the price action of DOG/USD (Dogecoin versus the US dollar) has formed what many technical analysts refer to as an ascending triangle between US$0.4381 and US$0.3006. Although this pattern is generally seen as a bullish continuation formation, there are occasions when it may indicate a reversal instead.
Should a breakout to the upside occur, traders may either add to their current buy positions (pyramiding) or enter new buy positions while placing protective stop-loss orders below the lower line of the ascending triangle.
Ichimoku Cloud Bolstering Ascending Triangle
The Ichimoku Cloud provides support at the lower side of the ascending triangle. This support area is determined by the difference between Leading Span A (green) at US$0.4034 and Leading Span B (orange) at US$0.3925, and is a commonly recognised support level, especially during uptrends. Additionally, it is noteworthy that the Leading Span A has just crossed above the Leading Span B, which is considered a bullish signal.
Adding to the above, additional bullish evidence is seen through the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) at US$0.2460 pointing to the upside, as well as price action rebounding from the 50-period SMA as support at US$0.3918.
Price Direction?
While market participants may ‘play the range’ within the ascending triangle – buying support and selling resistance – many will likely wait and see which way the pair breaks out from the pattern. As noted above, a higher break could trigger further buying, with stops placed under the ascending triangle’s lower line or even below the Ichimoku Cloud. On the other hand, a break lower could signal that price wants to test the upside gap between US$0.2203 and US$0.2668 (orange area).
The information contained in this material is intended for general advice only. It does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. FP Markets has made every effort to ensure the accuracy of the information as at the date of publication. FP Markets does not give any warranty or representation as to the material. Examples included in this material are for illustrative purposes only. To the extent permitted by law, FP Markets and its employees shall not be liable for any loss or damage arising in any way (including by way of negligence) from or in connection with any information provided in or omitted from this material. Features of the FP Markets products including applicable fees and charges are outlined in the Product Disclosure Statements available from FP Markets website, www.fpmarkets.com and should be considered before deciding to deal in those products. Derivatives can be risky; losses can exceed your initial payment. FP Markets recommends that you seek independent advice. First Prudential Markets Pty Ltd trading as FP Markets ABN 16 112 600 281, Australian Financial Services License Number 286354.